In the case of monetary policy, a dove is an individual who believes that low interest rates should be maintained. They maintain that low interest rates encourage growth within economies as they increase consumer borrowing demand and boost consumer spending.
Sustained low interest rates can cause notable increases in inflation, but doves believe that this negative effect is minimal in the grand scheme of things.
Doves are in favour of quantitative easing, considering it a means of stimulating an economy.
The opposite of a dove. These individuals are pro high interest rates as they see them as a means of controlling inflation. They are less concerned with economic growth.
Hawks are opposed to quantitative easing as they believe that it distorts asset markets.
A bull is an individual (or more specifically an investor) who believes that a certain market, industry or security will rise in value. A bull will purchase assets presuming that they will rise in value, and can consequently be sold at a later date for a higher price.
Example: Dollar bull
A Dollar bull is a speculator or investor who believes that the US Dollar is going in a positive direction and will rise in value in comparison to other currencies. For them, it is complete and utter madness to bet against the US economy and USD.
The opposite of a bull. Bears believe that a certain market, industry or security will decrease in value. Generally negative about a given market, security or asset (as opposed to a bull’s overwhelming optimism), bears will try to profit from falling prices.
Quantitative Easing (Q.E.)
A monetary policy that increases money supplies and lowers interest rates. In this policy central banks purchase securities from the market (or government securities like bonds). This inundates financial institutions with capital, thereby increasing the money supply with the aim of promoting lending and increasing liquidity.
A currency war is a scenario in which several countries deliberately attempt to weaken the value of their own currencies, thereby stimulating their respective economies. Quantitative easing and lowering interest rates can be used to decrease the value of currencies.
This is also known as “competitive devaluation”.
This is the buying of a currency, stock or commodity in the belief that it will increase in value.
This is also known as “long position”.
This is the selling of a borrowed currency, stock or commodity in the belief that it will decrease in value. For example, if an investor sold a borrowed currency on the market, the currency would eventually need to be returned. The investor does this by buying back the currency. If the currency has decreased in value, the investor buys it back for less than it was sold, consequently making a profit.
This is also known as “short position”.
This is the prevailing attitude of investors toward a particular market or security. The activities and changes in security price in a market communicate its sentiment e.g. increasing prices reveal a bullish sentiment.
A slang term used for the GBPUSD currency pair. The term comes from when the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar began to be transmitted across the Atlantic via a submarine communications cable in the mid-19th century.
The single currency, in economics, refers to a currency that is used by more than one country. The main example of this is the introduction of the Euro in the European Union.
There are many advantages of using a single currency, such as elimination of costs when converting currency and exchange rate uncertainty, increased transparency in price of goods, increased inward investment and lastly increased competition and efficiency.
Greenback is a slang term used to describe the US dollar. The name derives from the fact that paper US dollars were originally printed in green ink on the back. Greenback was originally considered a derogatory term when, during the American Civil War in the mid-1900s, the majority of banking authorities did not honour the currency at face value, and the notes were not exchangeable for silver or gold - despite being issued against the credit of the United States government.
There are no longer negative connotations associated with the term, and it is now accepted as a colloquial manner of referring to the currency of the USA.
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GBPUK Retail Sales printed well below consensus forecasts, with core retail sales contracting 0.8% since August. The annualised figure printed well below the forecast of 3.7% at 3.2% for September, however, the August figures were revised higher. The data had little overall market impact as attention was focused on political developments.VIEW FULL ARTICLE
GBPHeadline UK CPI inflation fell to 2.4% in September, below a forecast of 2.6% and well below August’s 2.7% print. Cheaper food and drink prices also hit core CPI data that fell to 1.9% from 2.1% previously.VIEW FULL ARTICLE
GBPThe first UK economic data of the week provided a welcome distraction. UK unemployment remained at 4.0%, a 45-year low. Market focus was on average earnings, and headline year-on-year earnings rose to 3.1% from 2.9%, the strongest figure since 2009, while the core rate edged up to 2.7% from 2.6% previously.VIEW FULL ARTICLE
GBPWithout the distraction of UK economic data, Brexit developments dominated Sterling trading again. Wednesday’s European Council meeting is earmarked as the point at which the EU will decide to press ahead with a November Brexit meeting to sign off withdrawal agreement and framework for a trade deal.VIEW FULL ARTICLE